By Camilo Diniz
President Donald Trump's approval rating stands at 32% one day before the United States votes in its midterm elections, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Monday (Nov. 2). The figure is close to the lowest level of his current term, and Brazilian outlets followed the numbers closely as Americans prepare to decide the makeup of Congress on Tuesday (Nov. 3).
What the Reuters/Ipsos poll shows
According to the poll's data, as circulated on X by the Brazilian polling account @EleicaoBr2026, 32% of respondents approve of Trump, 66% disapprove and 2% did not know or did not answer.
The survey was conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 2, 2026, with 1,765 adults, using an online probability panel (KnowledgePanel). The margin of error is 2.4 percentage points, at a 95% confidence level. The news outlets consulted cite a margin of about two points.
Poder360, a Brazilian news site, reported that the poll ended Monday and that the result was close to the all-time low. Reuters, in a text republished by MSN, also describes the figure as near the lowest point in the series.
The number is unchanged from the previous week, according to the Brazilian outlets Metrópoles and Agenda do Poder. Trump's low for the term was 31%, recorded on Oct. 19, so the latest reading shows stability rather than a new drop.
Voting intentions for Congress
According to Metrópoles, 46% of respondents said they were inclined to vote for Democrats and 38% for Republicans. Among independents, 50% said their vote will be against Trump, Metrópoles and Agenda do Poder report.
Agenda do Poder notes that Republicans have controlled both the House of Representatives and the Senate since Trump's 2024 victory. The two outlets also cite other surveys. One by The New York Times shows Democrats ahead in nearly all of the seven decisive Senate states. An Economist/YouGov poll from late October indicates 51.4% Democratic preference for the House.
Why it matters
Midterm elections are held halfway through a president's four-year term and are widely read as a verdict on the White House. This year's vote will determine whether the Republican Party keeps its majority in both chambers of Congress, and how much room Trump will have to advance his legislative agenda over the next two years.
VDD Analysis
A poll is a snapshot of the moment, not a counted vote. It carries a margin of error and measures mood, not the mobilization that actually gets voters to the polls. Republicans still control Congress, and the American right has the structure and the base to react. Anyone who follows politics, in Brazil or abroad, knows that only the ballot box ends the debate.
