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Economy

Brazil stocks lose R$ 873 billion after Lula's runoff win

Brazilian-listed companies lost about R$ 873 billion in market value in the week after Lula's runoff victory, and the market sees no improvement this year.

Stock market board showing falling prices at the B3 exchange in São Paulo, Brazil
Photo: Lula. Foto: Lula Oficial / CC BY-SA 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

Companies listed on Brazil's stock exchange lost about R$ 873 billion (Brazilian reais) in market value in the week after the presidential runoff that confirmed the victory of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, of the Workers' Party (PT). The figure was reported on November 2, 2026, and the drop set off alarms among investors who expected a different script for the economy.

The number is not a technical detail. It is a huge slice of the wealth of the companies traded on the B3, the Brazilian stock exchange based in São Paulo.

Brazil stock market: a historic drop

According to the source cited in the report, stocks recorded their biggest quarterly loss since the same period of the previous year, at the height of the coronavirus pandemic. In other words, the loss of value was not an isolated jolt but a movement that weighed on the balance of the entire period.

Analyst calls the reaction exaggerated

Daniel Teles, a partner at the firm Valor Investimentos, said the size of the drop represents an exaggerated reaction by the market. In his reading, investors' panic may have gone beyond the concrete facts.

Even so, the message reaching investors is a different one: there is no prospect of economic improvement this year. While the stock market tries to catch its breath, doubts about the direction of public accounts and economic policy remain in the air.

Why it matters

The B3 is the main gauge of how investors view the outlook for Brazilian companies. A loss of this size in a single week shows how sensitive the market is to the direction of fiscal policy under Lula, who leads the left and has been at odds with much of the business community over spending and public accounts. For foreign readers, the episode is a reminder that Brazilian elections move not only politics but also money: company values, investment decisions and, ultimately, the cost of living.

What comes next

With the market still wary, the next test will be the new government's ability to convey predictability. Without clear signals, the risk is that volatility continues and that the cost of uncertainty falls on companies, investors and Brazilians' pockets.

VDD Analysis

When the stock market loses almost R$ 900 billion in a few days, it is not just reacting to an election: it is demanding accountability. Fiscal responsibility, respect for the productive sector and stable rules are what bring confidence. Until the government gives concrete signs in that direction, distrust is likely to keep weighing on those who produce and invest in the country.

With information from Terra Brasil Notícias.

Translated and adapted from the original report by Visão da Direita (Portuguese). Read the original in Portuguese · Leer en español

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